Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia
Samo za registrovane korisnike
2018
Autori
Lukić, TinBjelajac, Dajana
Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E.
Marković, Slobodan B.
Basarin, Biljana
Mlađan, Dragan

Micić, Tanja
Schaetzl, Randall J.
Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
Milanović, Miško
Sipos, Gyorgy

Mezosi, Gabor
Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka

Milinčić, Miroljub
Letal, Ales
Samardžić, Ivan
Članak u časopisu (Objavljena verzija)

Metapodaci
Prikaz svih podataka o dokumentuApstrakt
Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The m...odified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies.
Ključne reči:
Rainfall erosivity / Aridity / Loess / Landslide / Hazard / Zemun loess plateauIzvor:
Environmental earth sciences, 2018, 77, 13Izdavač:
- Springer, New York
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Transformacije geoprostora Srbije - prošlost, savremeni problemi i predlozi rešenja (RS-176020)
- Provincial Secretariat for Higher Education and Scientific Research, Vojvodina Province [142-451-2511/2017-02]
DOI: 10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z
ISSN: 1866-6280
WoS: 000437868400002
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85049563442
Institucija/grupa
JakovTY - JOUR AU - Lukić, Tin AU - Bjelajac, Dajana AU - Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E. AU - Marković, Slobodan B. AU - Basarin, Biljana AU - Mlađan, Dragan AU - Micić, Tanja AU - Schaetzl, Randall J. AU - Gavrilov, Milivoj B. AU - Milanović, Miško AU - Sipos, Gyorgy AU - Mezosi, Gabor AU - Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka AU - Milinčić, Miroljub AU - Letal, Ales AU - Samardžić, Ivan PY - 2018 UR - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/840 AB - Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The modified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies. PB - Springer, New York T2 - Environmental earth sciences T1 - Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia VL - 77 IS - 13 DO - 10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z ER -
@article{ author = "Lukić, Tin and Bjelajac, Dajana and Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E. and Marković, Slobodan B. and Basarin, Biljana and Mlađan, Dragan and Micić, Tanja and Schaetzl, Randall J. and Gavrilov, Milivoj B. and Milanović, Miško and Sipos, Gyorgy and Mezosi, Gabor and Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka and Milinčić, Miroljub and Letal, Ales and Samardžić, Ivan", year = "2018", abstract = "Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The modified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies.", publisher = "Springer, New York", journal = "Environmental earth sciences", title = "Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia", volume = "77", number = "13", doi = "10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z" }
Lukić, T., Bjelajac, D., Fitzsimmons, K. E., Marković, S. B., Basarin, B., Mlađan, D., Micić, T., Schaetzl, R. J., Gavrilov, M. B., Milanović, M., Sipos, G., Mezosi, G., Knežević-Lukić, N., Milinčić, M., Letal, A.,& Samardžić, I.. (2018). Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia. in Environmental earth sciences Springer, New York., 77(13). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z
Lukić T, Bjelajac D, Fitzsimmons KE, Marković SB, Basarin B, Mlađan D, Micić T, Schaetzl RJ, Gavrilov MB, Milanović M, Sipos G, Mezosi G, Knežević-Lukić N, Milinčić M, Letal A, Samardžić I. Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia. in Environmental earth sciences. 2018;77(13). doi:10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z .
Lukić, Tin, Bjelajac, Dajana, Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E., Marković, Slobodan B., Basarin, Biljana, Mlađan, Dragan, Micić, Tanja, Schaetzl, Randall J., Gavrilov, Milivoj B., Milanović, Miško, Sipos, Gyorgy, Mezosi, Gabor, Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka, Milinčić, Miroljub, Letal, Ales, Samardžić, Ivan, "Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia" in Environmental earth sciences, 77, no. 13 (2018), https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z . .