Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses
Само за регистроване кориснике
2014
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
This paper investigates thematic classification of homicides for the purpose of behavioural investigative analysis (e.g. offender profiling). Previous research has predominantly used smallest space analysis (SSA) to conceptualise and classify offences into thematic groups based on crime scene behaviour data. This paper introduces a combined approach utilising multiple correspondence analysis (MCA), cluster analysis (CA), and discriminant function analysis (DFA) to define and differentiate crime scenes into expressive or instrumental and impersonal or personal crimes. MCA is used to derive the latent structural dimensions in the crime data and produce quantitative scores for each offence along these dimensions. Two-step CA was then utilised to classify offences. Offence dimensional scores were then used to predict cluster membership under DFA, producing cluster centroids corresponding to MCA dimensions. Centroids were plotted on the MCA correspondence map to simultaneously conceptualise... crime classification and the latent structure of the Serbian crime data. Classification of offences based on MCA dimensional scores were 91.5% accurate. This MCA-CA-DFA approach may reduce some of the more subjective aspects of SSA methodology used in classification, whilst producing a product more amenable to objective and cumulative review. Implications for offender profiling research utilising SSA and this approach are discussed.
Кључне речи:
homicide / instrumental and expressive aggression / behavioural investigative analysis / offender profiling / multiple correspondence analysisИзвор:
Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling, 2014, 11, 3, 221-236Издавач:
- Wiley-Blackwell, Hoboken
DOI: 10.1002/jip.1416
ISSN: 1544-4759
WoS: 000342899800002
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84907881929
Институција/група
JakovTY - JOUR AU - Goodwill, Alasdair M. AU - Allen, Jared C. AU - Kolarević, Dag PY - 2014 UR - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/567 AB - This paper investigates thematic classification of homicides for the purpose of behavioural investigative analysis (e.g. offender profiling). Previous research has predominantly used smallest space analysis (SSA) to conceptualise and classify offences into thematic groups based on crime scene behaviour data. This paper introduces a combined approach utilising multiple correspondence analysis (MCA), cluster analysis (CA), and discriminant function analysis (DFA) to define and differentiate crime scenes into expressive or instrumental and impersonal or personal crimes. MCA is used to derive the latent structural dimensions in the crime data and produce quantitative scores for each offence along these dimensions. Two-step CA was then utilised to classify offences. Offence dimensional scores were then used to predict cluster membership under DFA, producing cluster centroids corresponding to MCA dimensions. Centroids were plotted on the MCA correspondence map to simultaneously conceptualise crime classification and the latent structure of the Serbian crime data. Classification of offences based on MCA dimensional scores were 91.5% accurate. This MCA-CA-DFA approach may reduce some of the more subjective aspects of SSA methodology used in classification, whilst producing a product more amenable to objective and cumulative review. Implications for offender profiling research utilising SSA and this approach are discussed. PB - Wiley-Blackwell, Hoboken T2 - Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling T1 - Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses VL - 11 IS - 3 SP - 221 EP - 236 DO - 10.1002/jip.1416 ER -
@article{ author = "Goodwill, Alasdair M. and Allen, Jared C. and Kolarević, Dag", year = "2014", abstract = "This paper investigates thematic classification of homicides for the purpose of behavioural investigative analysis (e.g. offender profiling). Previous research has predominantly used smallest space analysis (SSA) to conceptualise and classify offences into thematic groups based on crime scene behaviour data. This paper introduces a combined approach utilising multiple correspondence analysis (MCA), cluster analysis (CA), and discriminant function analysis (DFA) to define and differentiate crime scenes into expressive or instrumental and impersonal or personal crimes. MCA is used to derive the latent structural dimensions in the crime data and produce quantitative scores for each offence along these dimensions. Two-step CA was then utilised to classify offences. Offence dimensional scores were then used to predict cluster membership under DFA, producing cluster centroids corresponding to MCA dimensions. Centroids were plotted on the MCA correspondence map to simultaneously conceptualise crime classification and the latent structure of the Serbian crime data. Classification of offences based on MCA dimensional scores were 91.5% accurate. This MCA-CA-DFA approach may reduce some of the more subjective aspects of SSA methodology used in classification, whilst producing a product more amenable to objective and cumulative review. Implications for offender profiling research utilising SSA and this approach are discussed.", publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell, Hoboken", journal = "Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling", title = "Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses", volume = "11", number = "3", pages = "221-236", doi = "10.1002/jip.1416" }
Goodwill, A. M., Allen, J. C.,& Kolarević, D.. (2014). Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses. in Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling Wiley-Blackwell, Hoboken., 11(3), 221-236. https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1416
Goodwill AM, Allen JC, Kolarević D. Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses. in Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling. 2014;11(3):221-236. doi:10.1002/jip.1416 .
Goodwill, Alasdair M., Allen, Jared C., Kolarević, Dag, "Improvement of Thematic Classification in Offender Profiling: Classifying Serbian Homicides Using Multiple Correspondence, Cluster, and Discriminant Function Analyses" in Journal of investigative psychology and offender profiling, 11, no. 3 (2014):221-236, https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1416 . .