The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia
2013
Аутори
Bogdanović, DraganMilošević, Zoran
Lazarević, Konstansa K.
Dolicanin, Zana C.
Ranđelović, Dragan
Bogdanović, Stefan D.
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and... malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.
Кључне речи:
climate change / heat wave / temperature / mortality / vulnerable populationsИзвор:
Central European journal of public health, 2013, 21, 3, 140-145Издавач:
- Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10
Финансирање / пројекти:
- Нове информационе технологије за аналитичко одлучивање базиране на организацији експеримента и опсервацији и њихова примена у биолошким, економским и социолошким системима (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-44007)
DOI: 10.21101/cejph.a3840
ISSN: 1210-7778
WoS: 000325955200006
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84893187138
Институција/група
JakovTY - JOUR AU - Bogdanović, Dragan AU - Milošević, Zoran AU - Lazarević, Konstansa K. AU - Dolicanin, Zana C. AU - Ranđelović, Dragan AU - Bogdanović, Stefan D. PY - 2013 UR - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/518 AB - Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females. PB - Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10 T2 - Central European journal of public health T1 - The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia VL - 21 IS - 3 SP - 140 EP - 145 DO - 10.21101/cejph.a3840 ER -
@article{ author = "Bogdanović, Dragan and Milošević, Zoran and Lazarević, Konstansa K. and Dolicanin, Zana C. and Ranđelović, Dragan and Bogdanović, Stefan D.", year = "2013", abstract = "Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.", publisher = "Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10", journal = "Central European journal of public health", title = "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia", volume = "21", number = "3", pages = "140-145", doi = "10.21101/cejph.a3840" }
Bogdanović, D., Milošević, Z., Lazarević, K. K., Dolicanin, Z. C., Ranđelović, D.,& Bogdanović, S. D.. (2013). The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia. in Central European journal of public health Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10., 21(3), 140-145. https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840
Bogdanović D, Milošević Z, Lazarević KK, Dolicanin ZC, Ranđelović D, Bogdanović SD. The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia. in Central European journal of public health. 2013;21(3):140-145. doi:10.21101/cejph.a3840 .
Bogdanović, Dragan, Milošević, Zoran, Lazarević, Konstansa K., Dolicanin, Zana C., Ranđelović, Dragan, Bogdanović, Stefan D., "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia" in Central European journal of public health, 21, no. 3 (2013):140-145, https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840 . .