TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lukić, Tin
AU  - Bjelajac, Dajana
AU  - Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E.
AU  - Marković, Slobodan B.
AU  - Basarin, Biljana
AU  - Mlađan, Dragan
AU  - Micić, Tanja
AU  - Schaetzl, Randall J.
AU  - Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
AU  - Milanović, Miško
AU  - Sipos, Gyorgy
AU  - Mezosi, Gabor
AU  - Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka
AU  - Milinčić, Miroljub
AU  - Letal, Ales
AU  - Samardžić, Ivan
PY  - 2018
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/840
AB  - Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The modified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies.
PB  - Springer, New York
T2  - Environmental earth sciences
T1  - Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia
VL  - 77
IS  - 13
DO  - 10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Lukić, Tin and Bjelajac, Dajana and Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E. and Marković, Slobodan B. and Basarin, Biljana and Mlađan, Dragan and Micić, Tanja and Schaetzl, Randall J. and Gavrilov, Milivoj B. and Milanović, Miško and Sipos, Gyorgy and Mezosi, Gabor and Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka and Milinčić, Miroljub and Letal, Ales and Samardžić, Ivan",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The modified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies.",
publisher = "Springer, New York",
journal = "Environmental earth sciences",
title = "Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia",
volume = "77",
number = "13",
doi = "10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z"
}

Lukić, T., Bjelajac, D., Fitzsimmons, K. E., Marković, S. B., Basarin, B., Mlađan, D., Micić, T., Schaetzl, R. J., Gavrilov, M. B., Milanović, M., Sipos, G., Mezosi, G., Knežević-Lukić, N., Milinčić, M., Letal, A.,& Samardžić, I.. (2018). Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia. in Environmental earth sciences
Springer, New York., 77(13).
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z

Lukić T, Bjelajac D, Fitzsimmons KE, Marković SB, Basarin B, Mlađan D, Micić T, Schaetzl RJ, Gavrilov MB, Milanović M, Sipos G, Mezosi G, Knežević-Lukić N, Milinčić M, Letal A, Samardžić I. Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia. in Environmental earth sciences. 2018;77(13).
doi:10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z .

Lukić, Tin, Bjelajac, Dajana, Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E., Marković, Slobodan B., Basarin, Biljana, Mlađan, Dragan, Micić, Tanja, Schaetzl, Randall J., Gavrilov, Milivoj B., Milanović, Miško, Sipos, Gyorgy, Mezosi, Gabor, Knežević-Lukić, Nevenka, Milinčić, Miroljub, Letal, Ales, Samardžić, Ivan, "Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia" in Environmental earth sciences, 77, no. 13 (2018),
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Radaković, Milica G.
AU  - Tošić, Ivana
AU  - Bačević, Nikola
AU  - Mlađan, Dragan
AU  - Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
AU  - Marković, Slobodan B.
PY  - 2018
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/839
AB  - In this study, we apply De Martonne and Pinna combinative indices to analyze the aridity in Central Serbia. Our dataset consists of mean monthly surface air temperature (MMT) and mean monthly precipitation (MMP) for 26 meteorological stations during the period 1949-2015. MMT and MMP are used for calculating monthly, seasonal, and annual aridity indices for period of 66 years. According to the De Martonne climate classification, we determine five, three, and four types of climate on the monthly, seasonal, and annual basis, respectively. During the observed period, winter was extremely humid, spring and autumn were humid, and summer was semi-humid. Humid and semi-humid climate with Mediterranean vegetation are identified by the annual Pinna combinative index. We find that there is no change in aridity trend in Central Serbia for the period 1949-2015. Aridity indices are additionally compared with the North Atlantic Oscillation and El-Nino South Oscillation in order to establish a possible connection with the large-scale processes. Results are further compared with several earlier studies of aridity in Serbia. With this study, the analysis of aridity in whole Serbia has become complete.
PB  - Springer Wien, Wien
T2  - Theoretical and applied climatology
T1  - The analysis of aridity in Central Serbia from 1949 to 2015
VL  - 133
IS  - 3-4
SP  - 887
EP  - 898
DO  - 10.1007/s00704-017-2220-8
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Radaković, Milica G. and Tošić, Ivana and Bačević, Nikola and Mlađan, Dragan and Gavrilov, Milivoj B. and Marković, Slobodan B.",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In this study, we apply De Martonne and Pinna combinative indices to analyze the aridity in Central Serbia. Our dataset consists of mean monthly surface air temperature (MMT) and mean monthly precipitation (MMP) for 26 meteorological stations during the period 1949-2015. MMT and MMP are used for calculating monthly, seasonal, and annual aridity indices for period of 66 years. According to the De Martonne climate classification, we determine five, three, and four types of climate on the monthly, seasonal, and annual basis, respectively. During the observed period, winter was extremely humid, spring and autumn were humid, and summer was semi-humid. Humid and semi-humid climate with Mediterranean vegetation are identified by the annual Pinna combinative index. We find that there is no change in aridity trend in Central Serbia for the period 1949-2015. Aridity indices are additionally compared with the North Atlantic Oscillation and El-Nino South Oscillation in order to establish a possible connection with the large-scale processes. Results are further compared with several earlier studies of aridity in Serbia. With this study, the analysis of aridity in whole Serbia has become complete.",
publisher = "Springer Wien, Wien",
journal = "Theoretical and applied climatology",
title = "The analysis of aridity in Central Serbia from 1949 to 2015",
volume = "133",
number = "3-4",
pages = "887-898",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-017-2220-8"
}

Radaković, M. G., Tošić, I., Bačević, N., Mlađan, D., Gavrilov, M. B.,& Marković, S. B.. (2018). The analysis of aridity in Central Serbia from 1949 to 2015. in Theoretical and applied climatology
Springer Wien, Wien., 133(3-4), 887-898.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2220-8

Radaković MG, Tošić I, Bačević N, Mlađan D, Gavrilov MB, Marković SB. The analysis of aridity in Central Serbia from 1949 to 2015. in Theoretical and applied climatology. 2018;133(3-4):887-898.
doi:10.1007/s00704-017-2220-8 .

Radaković, Milica G., Tošić, Ivana, Bačević, Nikola, Mlađan, Dragan, Gavrilov, Milivoj B., Marković, Slobodan B., "The analysis of aridity in Central Serbia from 1949 to 2015" in Theoretical and applied climatology, 133, no. 3-4 (2018):887-898,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-017-2220-8 . .

TY  - CONF
AU  - Gavrilov, Milivoj B
AU  - Marković, Slobodan B.
AU  - Mlađan, Dragan
AU  - Subošić, Dane
AU  - Zarić, Miroljub
AU  - Pešić, Aleksandar
AU  - Janc, Natalija
AU  - Nikolić, Milena
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
AU  - Bacević, Nikola
AU  - Marković, Slobodan I.
PY  - 2015
UR  - http://www.nsar.org.rs/sites/default/files/docs/Rajs_2015_Tom_1.pdf
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/1102
AB  - This paper discusses possible development or so-called scenario of extreme floods in the Republic of Serbia that would be caused by simultaneous occurrence of high-water levels/discharges on the rivers and heavy rains. As illustration, two scenarios are presented based on independently recorded cases of high water levels and heavy rains of May 2014. A scenario of the floods caused by the interaction of reached high water levels and observed heavy rains is particularly examined. Research of the floods is proposed with the parameters of flood waters that would not have highly unexpected values, but would be more extreme than all the past ones. Scenarios would yield new potentially useful information on the influence of floods on human communities. Proposals are presented for more efficient controlling and regulating of floods in the Republic of Serbia.
PB  - Beograd : Kriminalističko-policijska akademija; Belgrade : Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies
C3  - Dani Arčibalda Rajsa : međunarodni naučni skup, Beograd, 3-4. mart 2015., Tematski zbornik radova međunarodnog značaja. T. 1 = Archibald Reiss Days : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 3-4 March 2015, Thematic Conference Proceedings of International Significance. Vol. 1
T1  - Extreme floods in Serbia occurring simultaneously with the high water levels and heavy rains : case study
SP  - 25
EP  - 36
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_1102
ER  - 

@conference{
author = "Gavrilov, Milivoj B and Marković, Slobodan B. and Mlađan, Dragan and Subošić, Dane and Zarić, Miroljub and Pešić, Aleksandar and Janc, Natalija and Nikolić, Milena and Valjarević, Aleksandar and Bacević, Nikola and Marković, Slobodan I.",
year = "2015",
abstract = "This paper discusses possible development or so-called scenario of extreme floods in the Republic of Serbia that would be caused by simultaneous occurrence of high-water levels/discharges on the rivers and heavy rains. As illustration, two scenarios are presented based on independently recorded cases of high water levels and heavy rains of May 2014. A scenario of the floods caused by the interaction of reached high water levels and observed heavy rains is particularly examined. Research of the floods is proposed with the parameters of flood waters that would not have highly unexpected values, but would be more extreme than all the past ones. Scenarios would yield new potentially useful information on the influence of floods on human communities. Proposals are presented for more efficient controlling and regulating of floods in the Republic of Serbia.",
publisher = "Beograd : Kriminalističko-policijska akademija; Belgrade : Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies",
journal = "Dani Arčibalda Rajsa : međunarodni naučni skup, Beograd, 3-4. mart 2015., Tematski zbornik radova međunarodnog značaja. T. 1 = Archibald Reiss Days : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 3-4 March 2015, Thematic Conference Proceedings of International Significance. Vol. 1",
title = "Extreme floods in Serbia occurring simultaneously with the high water levels and heavy rains : case study",
pages = "25-36",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_1102"
}

Gavrilov, M. B., Marković, S. B., Mlađan, D., Subošić, D., Zarić, M., Pešić, A., Janc, N., Nikolić, M., Valjarević, A., Bacević, N.,& Marković, S. I.. (2015). Extreme floods in Serbia occurring simultaneously with the high water levels and heavy rains : case study. in Dani Arčibalda Rajsa : međunarodni naučni skup, Beograd, 3-4. mart 2015., Tematski zbornik radova međunarodnog značaja. T. 1 = Archibald Reiss Days : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 3-4 March 2015, Thematic Conference Proceedings of International Significance. Vol. 1
Beograd : Kriminalističko-policijska akademija; Belgrade : Academy of Criminalistic and Police Studies., 25-36.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_1102

Gavrilov MB, Marković SB, Mlađan D, Subošić D, Zarić M, Pešić A, Janc N, Nikolić M, Valjarević A, Bacević N, Marković SI. Extreme floods in Serbia occurring simultaneously with the high water levels and heavy rains : case study. in Dani Arčibalda Rajsa : međunarodni naučni skup, Beograd, 3-4. mart 2015., Tematski zbornik radova međunarodnog značaja. T. 1 = Archibald Reiss Days : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 3-4 March 2015, Thematic Conference Proceedings of International Significance. Vol. 1. 2015;:25-36.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_1102 .

Gavrilov, Milivoj B, Marković, Slobodan B., Mlađan, Dragan, Subošić, Dane, Zarić, Miroljub, Pešić, Aleksandar, Janc, Natalija, Nikolić, Milena, Valjarević, Aleksandar, Bacević, Nikola, Marković, Slobodan I., "Extreme floods in Serbia occurring simultaneously with the high water levels and heavy rains : case study" in Dani Arčibalda Rajsa : međunarodni naučni skup, Beograd, 3-4. mart 2015., Tematski zbornik radova međunarodnog značaja. T. 1 = Archibald Reiss Days : International Scientific Conference, Belgrade, 3-4 March 2015, Thematic Conference Proceedings of International Significance. Vol. 1 (2015):25-36,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_1102 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lukić, Tin
AU  - Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
AU  - Marković, Slobodan B.
AU  - Komac, Blaz
AU  - Zorn, Matija
AU  - Mlađan, Dragan
AU  - Đoržević, Jasmina
AU  - Milanović, Miško
AU  - Vasiljević, Đorđije A.
AU  - Vujičić, Miroslav D.
AU  - Kuzmanović, Bogdan
AU  - Prentović, Risto
PY  - 2013
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/517
AB  - The paper discusses the definitions of natural disasters and recommends the implementation of definitions and classifications of natural disasters in accordance with those decreed at the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) and Munich Re insurance Company (Munich RE) for administrative use in the Republic of Serbia. For the Republic of Serbia, the issue of natural disasters is presented both through government documents (e.g. the Law on Emergencies and the National Strategy of the Protection and Rescue in Emergencies) and the survey of the frequency and typology of disasters. Significant discrepancies exist between older and more contemporary classifications of disasters in Serbia. They are especially emphasized in comparison to the CRED and Munich RE classifications and databases. This causes problems in the monitoring, recording and assessment of the effects of natural disasters. It is proposed that definitions be adapted and implemented into legislative and other documents.
PB  - Geografski Inst Antona Melika Zrc Sazu, Ljubljana
T2  - Acta geographica Slovenica-Geografski zbornik
T1  - Classification of natural disasters between the legislation and application: experience of the Republic of Serbia
VL  - 53
IS  - 1
SP  - 150
EP  - 164
DO  - 10.3986/AGS53301
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Lukić, Tin and Gavrilov, Milivoj B. and Marković, Slobodan B. and Komac, Blaz and Zorn, Matija and Mlađan, Dragan and Đoržević, Jasmina and Milanović, Miško and Vasiljević, Đorđije A. and Vujičić, Miroslav D. and Kuzmanović, Bogdan and Prentović, Risto",
year = "2013",
abstract = "The paper discusses the definitions of natural disasters and recommends the implementation of definitions and classifications of natural disasters in accordance with those decreed at the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) and Munich Re insurance Company (Munich RE) for administrative use in the Republic of Serbia. For the Republic of Serbia, the issue of natural disasters is presented both through government documents (e.g. the Law on Emergencies and the National Strategy of the Protection and Rescue in Emergencies) and the survey of the frequency and typology of disasters. Significant discrepancies exist between older and more contemporary classifications of disasters in Serbia. They are especially emphasized in comparison to the CRED and Munich RE classifications and databases. This causes problems in the monitoring, recording and assessment of the effects of natural disasters. It is proposed that definitions be adapted and implemented into legislative and other documents.",
publisher = "Geografski Inst Antona Melika Zrc Sazu, Ljubljana",
journal = "Acta geographica Slovenica-Geografski zbornik",
title = "Classification of natural disasters between the legislation and application: experience of the Republic of Serbia",
volume = "53",
number = "1",
pages = "150-164",
doi = "10.3986/AGS53301"
}

Lukić, T., Gavrilov, M. B., Marković, S. B., Komac, B., Zorn, M., Mlađan, D., Đoržević, J., Milanović, M., Vasiljević, Đ. A., Vujičić, M. D., Kuzmanović, B.,& Prentović, R.. (2013). Classification of natural disasters between the legislation and application: experience of the Republic of Serbia. in Acta geographica Slovenica-Geografski zbornik
Geografski Inst Antona Melika Zrc Sazu, Ljubljana., 53(1), 150-164.
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS53301

Lukić T, Gavrilov MB, Marković SB, Komac B, Zorn M, Mlađan D, Đoržević J, Milanović M, Vasiljević ĐA, Vujičić MD, Kuzmanović B, Prentović R. Classification of natural disasters between the legislation and application: experience of the Republic of Serbia. in Acta geographica Slovenica-Geografski zbornik. 2013;53(1):150-164.
doi:10.3986/AGS53301 .

Lukić, Tin, Gavrilov, Milivoj B., Marković, Slobodan B., Komac, Blaz, Zorn, Matija, Mlađan, Dragan, Đoržević, Jasmina, Milanović, Miško, Vasiljević, Đorđije A., Vujičić, Miroslav D., Kuzmanović, Bogdan, Prentović, Risto, "Classification of natural disasters between the legislation and application: experience of the Republic of Serbia" in Acta geographica Slovenica-Geografski zbornik, 53, no. 1 (2013):150-164,
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS53301 . .