TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bogdanović, Dragan
AU  - Milošević, Zoran
AU  - Lazarević, Konstansa K.
AU  - Dolicanin, Zana C.
AU  - Ranđelović, Dragan
AU  - Bogdanović, Stefan D.
PY  - 2013
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/518
AB  - Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.
PB  - Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10
T2  - Central European journal of public health
T1  - The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia
VL  - 21
IS  - 3
SP  - 140
EP  - 145
DO  - 10.21101/cejph.a3840
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Bogdanović, Dragan and Milošević, Zoran and Lazarević, Konstansa K. and Dolicanin, Zana C. and Ranđelović, Dragan and Bogdanović, Stefan D.",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.",
publisher = "Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10",
journal = "Central European journal of public health",
title = "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia",
volume = "21",
number = "3",
pages = "140-145",
doi = "10.21101/cejph.a3840"
}

Bogdanović, D., Milošević, Z., Lazarević, K. K., Dolicanin, Z. C., Ranđelović, D.,& Bogdanović, S. D.. (2013). The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia. in Central European journal of public health
Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10., 21(3), 140-145.
https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840

Bogdanović D, Milošević Z, Lazarević KK, Dolicanin ZC, Ranđelović D, Bogdanović SD. The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia. in Central European journal of public health. 2013;21(3):140-145.
doi:10.21101/cejph.a3840 .

Bogdanović, Dragan, Milošević, Zoran, Lazarević, Konstansa K., Dolicanin, Zana C., Ranđelović, Dragan, Bogdanović, Stefan D., "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia" in Central European journal of public health, 21, no. 3 (2013):140-145,
https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bogdanović, Dragan
AU  - Dolićanin, Ćemal
AU  - Ranđelović, Dragan
AU  - Milošević, Zoran
AU  - Dolićanin, Diana
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/455
AB  - Epidemiological studies investigating the health effects of short-term exposure to air pollution most often assess the impact of variations in concentrations of air pollutants on the number of adverse health events from day to day, using regression models for analyzing time series data. Heterogeneity in the results of these studies is caused by differences in mixtures of pollutants, development level of health services, meteorological conditions, geographical location and characteristics of the population, but differences between the way regression models are formed and associated factor effect control are still present. The aim of this paper is to present the results of studies conducted in the world where the effects of air pollution on human health was investigated using time series models, and highlight the need for standardization of the regression models used in the analysis.
AB  - Epidemiološke studije koje istražuju zdravstvene efekte kratkotrajnog izlaganja aerozagađenju najčešće procenjuju uticaj varijacija koncentracija zagađujućih materija u vazduhu na broj negativnih zdravstvenih događaja iz dana u dan, korišćenjem regresionih modela za analizu vremenskih serija podataka. Do heterogenosti u rezultatima ovih studija dovode razlike u sastavu smeše polutanata, razvijenosti zdravstvene službe, meteoroloških prilika, geografskog položaja i karakteristika populacije, ali i još uvek su prisutne razlike u načinu formiranja regresionih modela i kontrole delovanja pridruženih faktora. Cilj ovog rada je prikaz rezultata studija sprovedenih u svetu u kojima je uticaj aerozagađenja na zdravlje ispitivan primenom modela vremenskih serija, kao i ukazivanje na potrebu standardizacije regresionih modela koji se koriste u analizi.
PB  - Komora zdravstvenih ustanova Srbije - Beograd
T2  - Zdravstvena zaštita
T1  - Time series studies estimating health risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution
T1  - Studije vremenskih serija za procenu zdravstvenih rizika povezanih sa kratkotrajnim izlaganjima aerozagađenju
VL  - 41
IS  - 4
SP  - 34
EP  - 40
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_455
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Bogdanović, Dragan and Dolićanin, Ćemal and Ranđelović, Dragan and Milošević, Zoran and Dolićanin, Diana",
year = "2012",
abstract = "Epidemiological studies investigating the health effects of short-term exposure to air pollution most often assess the impact of variations in concentrations of air pollutants on the number of adverse health events from day to day, using regression models for analyzing time series data. Heterogeneity in the results of these studies is caused by differences in mixtures of pollutants, development level of health services, meteorological conditions, geographical location and characteristics of the population, but differences between the way regression models are formed and associated factor effect control are still present. The aim of this paper is to present the results of studies conducted in the world where the effects of air pollution on human health was investigated using time series models, and highlight the need for standardization of the regression models used in the analysis., Epidemiološke studije koje istražuju zdravstvene efekte kratkotrajnog izlaganja aerozagađenju najčešće procenjuju uticaj varijacija koncentracija zagađujućih materija u vazduhu na broj negativnih zdravstvenih događaja iz dana u dan, korišćenjem regresionih modela za analizu vremenskih serija podataka. Do heterogenosti u rezultatima ovih studija dovode razlike u sastavu smeše polutanata, razvijenosti zdravstvene službe, meteoroloških prilika, geografskog položaja i karakteristika populacije, ali i još uvek su prisutne razlike u načinu formiranja regresionih modela i kontrole delovanja pridruženih faktora. Cilj ovog rada je prikaz rezultata studija sprovedenih u svetu u kojima je uticaj aerozagađenja na zdravlje ispitivan primenom modela vremenskih serija, kao i ukazivanje na potrebu standardizacije regresionih modela koji se koriste u analizi.",
publisher = "Komora zdravstvenih ustanova Srbije - Beograd",
journal = "Zdravstvena zaštita",
title = "Time series studies estimating health risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution, Studije vremenskih serija za procenu zdravstvenih rizika povezanih sa kratkotrajnim izlaganjima aerozagađenju",
volume = "41",
number = "4",
pages = "34-40",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_455"
}

Bogdanović, D., Dolićanin, Ć., Ranđelović, D., Milošević, Z.,& Dolićanin, D.. (2012). Time series studies estimating health risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution. in Zdravstvena zaštita
Komora zdravstvenih ustanova Srbije - Beograd., 41(4), 34-40.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_455

Bogdanović D, Dolićanin Ć, Ranđelović D, Milošević Z, Dolićanin D. Time series studies estimating health risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution. in Zdravstvena zaštita. 2012;41(4):34-40.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_455 .

Bogdanović, Dragan, Dolićanin, Ćemal, Ranđelović, Dragan, Milošević, Zoran, Dolićanin, Diana, "Time series studies estimating health risks associated with short-term exposure to air pollution" in Zdravstvena zaštita, 41, no. 4 (2012):34-40,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_jakov_455 .