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Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study

Thumbnail
2017
795.pdf (1.958Mb)
Authors
Lukić, T.
Marić, P.
Hrnjak, I.
Gavrilov, M.B.
Mlađan, Dragan
Zorn, Matija
Komac, Blaz
Milošević, Z.
Marković, S.B.
Sakulski, D.
Jordaan, A.
Đorđević, J.
Pavić, D.
Stojsavljević, R.
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
A recent forest fire in the Republic of Serbia is discussed concerning classification, legislative framework and fire management, giving a detailed analysis of the forest fire occurrence. Analysing past and predicting future fires are crucial for policy development and forest management practices to prevent and mitigate fires. Fire hazard is discussed through several fire protection and prevention legislative documents. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test was used to analyse resent forest fire data in an attempt to find causality in occurrences and frequency. The meteorological data and fire statistics provided by the Serbian Hydro-meteorological Service and the Ministry of Interior/Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia were used to calculate the Forest Fire Weather Indices, along with deficit or surplus of precipitation for the case study of Tara Mountain. The paper highlights the need for better hierarchical classification of fire hazards and its harmonisation alo...ng with standardisations presented by leading international research institutions. A significant correlation between meteorological parameters and forest fire occurrence was found. This opens a possibility for further investigation and analysis of geophysical and anthropogenic driven factors that can influence disaster occurrence.

Keywords:
Classification / Forest fire weather indices / Forest fires / Geography / Natural hazards / Serbia / Tara mountain
Source:
Acta Geographica Slovenica, 2017, 57, 1, 51-63
Funding / projects:
  • Transformation of Serbian Geospace - lessons from the past, contemporary problems and possible solutions (RS-176020)

DOI: 10.3986/AGS.918

ISSN: 1581-6613

WoS: 000403818700005

Scopus: 2-s2.0-84989193336
[ Google Scholar ]
13
11
URI
http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/797
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' publications
Institution/Community
Jakov
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lukić, T.
AU  - Marić, P.
AU  - Hrnjak, I.
AU  - Gavrilov, M.B.
AU  - Mlađan, Dragan
AU  - Zorn, Matija
AU  - Komac, Blaz
AU  - Milošević, Z.
AU  - Marković, S.B.
AU  - Sakulski, D.
AU  - Jordaan, A.
AU  - Đorđević, J.
AU  - Pavić, D.
AU  - Stojsavljević, R.
PY  - 2017
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/797
AB  - A recent forest fire in the Republic of Serbia is discussed concerning classification, legislative framework and fire management, giving a detailed analysis of the forest fire occurrence. Analysing past and predicting future fires are crucial for policy development and forest management practices to prevent and mitigate fires. Fire hazard is discussed through several fire protection and prevention legislative documents. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test was used to analyse resent forest fire data in an attempt to find causality in occurrences and frequency. The meteorological data and fire statistics provided by the Serbian Hydro-meteorological Service and the Ministry of Interior/Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia were used to calculate the Forest Fire Weather Indices, along with deficit or surplus of precipitation for the case study of Tara Mountain. The paper highlights the need for better hierarchical classification of fire hazards and its harmonisation along with standardisations presented by leading international research institutions. A significant correlation between meteorological parameters and forest fire occurrence was found. This opens a possibility for further investigation and analysis of geophysical and anthropogenic driven factors that can influence disaster occurrence.
T2  - Acta Geographica Slovenica
T1  - Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study
VL  - 57
IS  - 1
SP  - 51
EP  - 63
DO  - 10.3986/AGS.918
UR  - conv_1259
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Lukić, T. and Marić, P. and Hrnjak, I. and Gavrilov, M.B. and Mlađan, Dragan and Zorn, Matija and Komac, Blaz and Milošević, Z. and Marković, S.B. and Sakulski, D. and Jordaan, A. and Đorđević, J. and Pavić, D. and Stojsavljević, R.",
year = "2017",
abstract = "A recent forest fire in the Republic of Serbia is discussed concerning classification, legislative framework and fire management, giving a detailed analysis of the forest fire occurrence. Analysing past and predicting future fires are crucial for policy development and forest management practices to prevent and mitigate fires. Fire hazard is discussed through several fire protection and prevention legislative documents. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test was used to analyse resent forest fire data in an attempt to find causality in occurrences and frequency. The meteorological data and fire statistics provided by the Serbian Hydro-meteorological Service and the Ministry of Interior/Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia were used to calculate the Forest Fire Weather Indices, along with deficit or surplus of precipitation for the case study of Tara Mountain. The paper highlights the need for better hierarchical classification of fire hazards and its harmonisation along with standardisations presented by leading international research institutions. A significant correlation between meteorological parameters and forest fire occurrence was found. This opens a possibility for further investigation and analysis of geophysical and anthropogenic driven factors that can influence disaster occurrence.",
journal = "Acta Geographica Slovenica",
title = "Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study",
volume = "57",
number = "1",
pages = "51-63",
doi = "10.3986/AGS.918",
url = "conv_1259"
}
Lukić, T., Marić, P., Hrnjak, I., Gavrilov, M.B., Mlađan, D., Zorn, M., Komac, B., Milošević, Z., Marković, S.B., Sakulski, D., Jordaan, A., Đorđević, J., Pavić, D.,& Stojsavljević, R.. (2017). Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study. in Acta Geographica Slovenica, 57(1), 51-63.
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.918
conv_1259
Lukić T, Marić P, Hrnjak I, Gavrilov M, Mlađan D, Zorn M, Komac B, Milošević Z, Marković S, Sakulski D, Jordaan A, Đorđević J, Pavić D, Stojsavljević R. Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study. in Acta Geographica Slovenica. 2017;57(1):51-63.
doi:10.3986/AGS.918
conv_1259 .
Lukić, T., Marić, P., Hrnjak, I., Gavrilov, M.B., Mlađan, Dragan, Zorn, Matija, Komac, Blaz, Milošević, Z., Marković, S.B., Sakulski, D., Jordaan, A., Đorđević, J., Pavić, D., Stojsavljević, R., "Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study" in Acta Geographica Slovenica, 57, no. 1 (2017):51-63,
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.918 .,
conv_1259 .

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