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Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster

Analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša kao prirodnih katastrofa

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2014
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Cvetković, Vladimir
Bošković, Dejan
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Abstract
As climatological disasters, droughts increasingly jeopardize the safety of people and their property, creating serious environmental problems including the negative impact on the environment. For these and other reasons, the droughts as a natural disaster are beginning to attract more attention of researchers all over the world who want to better comprehend them in the phenomenological and quantitative terms. Bearing in mind that this is a mass phenomenon, which consists of multiple units, the most preferred scientific method for drawing conclusions about the drought is the statistical method. Guided by this fact, the subject of research is a descriptive statistical analysis of geospatial and temporal distribution of drought in the world during the period 1900-2013. In addition, a statistical study was conducted in such a way that the first step taken in the form of raw data Excel file from the international database on disasters (CRED) in Brussels and then analyzed in the SPSS statis...tical analysis of data. Within geospatial analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought across continents and countries was considered, with special emphasis on the five most vulnerable countries to the total number and variety of consequences. On the same principle, within the temporal analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought on annual, monthly and daily basis was examined, with special reference to the five most important in the number of different effects (killed, injured, affected, homeless). In this sense, for effective and efficient protection and emergency response due to the deleterious effect of drought, it is inter alia stated comprehensively investigate natural phenomena using statistical method and the method of thematic mapping with the objective descriptions consequence, geospatial and timing of the manifestation of drought.

Suše kao klimatske katastrofe svakim danom sve više ugrožavaju bezbednost ljudi i njihovu imovinu, stvarajući ozbiljne ekološke probleme među kojima je i negativan uticaj na životnu sredinu. Predmet rada je deskriptivna statistička analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša u svetu tokom perioda 1900-2013. godina. Pri tome, samo statističko istraživanje je sprovedeno na taj način što su u prvom koraku preuzeti neobrađeni podaci u vidu Excel fajla iz međunarodne baze podataka o katastrofama (CRED) u Briselu, a zatim su analizirani u programu za statističku obradu podataka SPSS. U okviru geoprostorne analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša po kontinentima i državama, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najugroženijih država prema ukupnom broju i različitim posledicama. Po istom principu, u okviru vremenske analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša na godišnjem, mesečnom i dnevnom nivou, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najznačajnijih godina prem...a broju različitih posledica (poginuli, povređeni, pogođeni, bez doma). U tom smislu, radi efektivnije i efikasnije zaštite i reagovanja u vanrednim situacijama izazvanim štetnim dejstvom suša, potrebno je, između ostalog, sveobuhvatno istražiti navedeni prirodni fenomen, koristeći statistički metod i metod tematske kartografije sa ciljem deskripcije posledica, geoprostornog i vremenskog rasporeda ispoljavanja suša.

Keywords:
security / natural disasters / system of rescue and protection / statistical analysis / geospatial and temporal distribution of drought / bezbednost / prirodne katastrofe / zaštita i spasavanje / statistička analiza / geoprostorna i vremenska distribucija suša
Source:
Bezbednost, Beograd, 2014, 56, 3, 148-164
Publisher:
  • Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd

DOI: 10.5937/bezbednost1403148C

ISSN: 0409-2953

[ Google Scholar ]
URI
http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/569
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' publications
Institution/Community
Jakov
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Cvetković, Vladimir
AU  - Bošković, Dejan
PY  - 2014
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/569
AB  - As climatological disasters, droughts increasingly jeopardize the safety of people and their property, creating serious environmental problems including the negative impact on the environment. For these and other reasons, the droughts as a natural disaster are beginning to attract more attention of researchers all over the world who want to better comprehend them in the phenomenological and quantitative terms. Bearing in mind that this is a mass phenomenon, which consists of multiple units, the most preferred scientific method for drawing conclusions about the drought is the statistical method. Guided by this fact, the subject of research is a descriptive statistical analysis of geospatial and temporal distribution of drought in the world during the period 1900-2013. In addition, a statistical study was conducted in such a way that the first step taken in the form of raw data Excel file from the international database on disasters (CRED) in Brussels and then analyzed in the SPSS statistical analysis of data. Within geospatial analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought across continents and countries was considered, with special emphasis on the five most vulnerable countries to the total number and variety of consequences. On the same principle, within the temporal analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought on annual, monthly and daily basis was examined, with special reference to the five most important in the number of different effects (killed, injured, affected, homeless). In this sense, for effective and efficient protection and emergency response due to the deleterious effect of drought, it is inter alia stated comprehensively investigate natural phenomena using statistical method and the method of thematic mapping with the objective descriptions consequence, geospatial and timing of the manifestation of drought.
AB  - Suše kao klimatske katastrofe svakim danom sve više ugrožavaju bezbednost ljudi i njihovu imovinu, stvarajući ozbiljne ekološke probleme među kojima je i negativan uticaj na životnu sredinu. Predmet rada je deskriptivna statistička analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša u svetu tokom perioda 1900-2013. godina. Pri tome, samo statističko istraživanje je sprovedeno na taj način što su u prvom koraku preuzeti neobrađeni podaci u vidu Excel fajla iz međunarodne baze podataka o katastrofama (CRED) u Briselu, a zatim su analizirani u programu za statističku obradu podataka SPSS. U okviru geoprostorne analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša po kontinentima i državama, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najugroženijih država prema ukupnom broju i različitim posledicama. Po istom principu, u okviru vremenske analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša na godišnjem, mesečnom i dnevnom nivou, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najznačajnijih godina prema broju različitih posledica (poginuli, povređeni, pogođeni, bez doma). U tom smislu, radi efektivnije i efikasnije zaštite i reagovanja u vanrednim situacijama izazvanim štetnim dejstvom suša, potrebno je, između ostalog, sveobuhvatno istražiti navedeni prirodni fenomen, koristeći statistički metod i metod tematske kartografije sa ciljem deskripcije posledica, geoprostornog i vremenskog rasporeda ispoljavanja suša.
PB  - Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd
T2  - Bezbednost, Beograd
T1  - Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster
T1  - Analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša kao prirodnih katastrofa
VL  - 56
IS  - 3
SP  - 148
EP  - 164
DO  - 10.5937/bezbednost1403148C
UR  - conv_710
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Cvetković, Vladimir and Bošković, Dejan",
year = "2014",
abstract = "As climatological disasters, droughts increasingly jeopardize the safety of people and their property, creating serious environmental problems including the negative impact on the environment. For these and other reasons, the droughts as a natural disaster are beginning to attract more attention of researchers all over the world who want to better comprehend them in the phenomenological and quantitative terms. Bearing in mind that this is a mass phenomenon, which consists of multiple units, the most preferred scientific method for drawing conclusions about the drought is the statistical method. Guided by this fact, the subject of research is a descriptive statistical analysis of geospatial and temporal distribution of drought in the world during the period 1900-2013. In addition, a statistical study was conducted in such a way that the first step taken in the form of raw data Excel file from the international database on disasters (CRED) in Brussels and then analyzed in the SPSS statistical analysis of data. Within geospatial analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought across continents and countries was considered, with special emphasis on the five most vulnerable countries to the total number and variety of consequences. On the same principle, within the temporal analysis, the distribution of the total number and consequences of drought on annual, monthly and daily basis was examined, with special reference to the five most important in the number of different effects (killed, injured, affected, homeless). In this sense, for effective and efficient protection and emergency response due to the deleterious effect of drought, it is inter alia stated comprehensively investigate natural phenomena using statistical method and the method of thematic mapping with the objective descriptions consequence, geospatial and timing of the manifestation of drought., Suše kao klimatske katastrofe svakim danom sve više ugrožavaju bezbednost ljudi i njihovu imovinu, stvarajući ozbiljne ekološke probleme među kojima je i negativan uticaj na životnu sredinu. Predmet rada je deskriptivna statistička analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša u svetu tokom perioda 1900-2013. godina. Pri tome, samo statističko istraživanje je sprovedeno na taj način što su u prvom koraku preuzeti neobrađeni podaci u vidu Excel fajla iz međunarodne baze podataka o katastrofama (CRED) u Briselu, a zatim su analizirani u programu za statističku obradu podataka SPSS. U okviru geoprostorne analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša po kontinentima i državama, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najugroženijih država prema ukupnom broju i različitim posledicama. Po istom principu, u okviru vremenske analize razmatrana je distribucija ukupnog broja i posledica suša na godišnjem, mesečnom i dnevnom nivou, sa posebnim osvrtom na pet najznačajnijih godina prema broju različitih posledica (poginuli, povređeni, pogođeni, bez doma). U tom smislu, radi efektivnije i efikasnije zaštite i reagovanja u vanrednim situacijama izazvanim štetnim dejstvom suša, potrebno je, između ostalog, sveobuhvatno istražiti navedeni prirodni fenomen, koristeći statistički metod i metod tematske kartografije sa ciljem deskripcije posledica, geoprostornog i vremenskog rasporeda ispoljavanja suša.",
publisher = "Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd",
journal = "Bezbednost, Beograd",
title = "Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster, Analiza geoprostorne i vremenske distribucije suša kao prirodnih katastrofa",
volume = "56",
number = "3",
pages = "148-164",
doi = "10.5937/bezbednost1403148C",
url = "conv_710"
}
Cvetković, V.,& Bošković, D.. (2014). Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster. in Bezbednost, Beograd
Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd., 56(3), 148-164.
https://doi.org/10.5937/bezbednost1403148C
conv_710
Cvetković V, Bošković D. Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster. in Bezbednost, Beograd. 2014;56(3):148-164.
doi:10.5937/bezbednost1403148C
conv_710 .
Cvetković, Vladimir, Bošković, Dejan, "Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of drought as natural disaster" in Bezbednost, Beograd, 56, no. 3 (2014):148-164,
https://doi.org/10.5937/bezbednost1403148C .,
conv_710 .

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