Jakov - Repository of the University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies
University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies
    • English
    • Српски
    • Српски (Serbia)
  • English 
    • English
    • Serbian (Cyrilic)
    • Serbian (Latin)
  • Login
View Item 
  •   Jakov
  • Jakov
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' publications
  • View Item
  •   Jakov
  • Jakov
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' publications
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia

Thumbnail
2013
516.pdf (467.6Kb)
Authors
Bogdanović, Dragan
Milošević, Zoran
Lazarević, Konstansa K.
Dolicanin, Zana C.
Ranđelović, Dragan
Bogdanović, Stefan D.
Article (Published version)
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and... malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.

Keywords:
climate change / heat wave / temperature / mortality / vulnerable populations
Source:
Central European journal of public health, 2013, 21, 3, 140-145
Publisher:
  • Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10
Projects:
  • New Information Technologies for Analytical Decision Making Based on Experiment Observation and their Application in Biological, Economic and Sociological Systems (RS-44007)

DOI: 10.21101/cejph.a3840

ISSN: 1210-7778

WoS: 000325955200006

Scopus: 2-s2.0-84893187138
[ Google Scholar ]
17
15
URI
http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/518
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' publications
Institution
Jakov
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bogdanović, Dragan
AU  - Milošević, Zoran
AU  - Lazarević, Konstansa K.
AU  - Dolicanin, Zana C.
AU  - Ranđelović, Dragan
AU  - Bogdanović, Stefan D.
PY  - 2013
UR  - http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/518
AB  - Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.
PB  - Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10
T2  - Central European journal of public health
T1  - The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia
VL  - 21
IS  - 3
SP  - 140
EP  - 145
DO  - 10.21101/cejph.a3840
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Bogdanović, Dragan and Milošević, Zoran and Lazarević, Konstansa K. and Dolicanin, Zana C. and Ranđelović, Dragan and Bogdanović, Stefan D.",
year = "2013",
url = "http://jakov.kpu.edu.rs/handle/123456789/518",
abstract = "Objective: Mortality has been shown to increase with heat waves. Serbia experienced the hottest heat wave in July 2007. In this study, we examined patterns of non-traumatic excess mortality in Belgrade during this event. Methods: The numbers of deaths observed during the 9-day heat wave were compared to those expected on the basis of mortality rates reported for the previous eight years and two following years. Excess mortality was analyzed by age, gender and cause of death. Results: There was a total of 167 excess deaths (38%) between 16 and 24 July. People aged 75 years and older accounted for 151(90%) of all excess deaths. An increase of mortality among elderly was 76% in comparison to the baseline mortality. Excess female mortality was over two times higher than excess male mortality (54% : 23%). The biggest increase in mortality was from diabetes mellitus (286%), chronic kidney disease (200%), respiratory system diseases (73%), and nervous system diseases (67%). Cardiovascular and malignant neoplasms mortality accounted for the highest absolute numbers of excess deaths (77 and 49, respectively). There was no decrease in mortality in the 60-day period after the heat wave. Conclusions: There are several causes of an increase in heat-related mortality. The most vulnerable population group is the elderly females.",
publisher = "Natl Inst Public Health, Prague 10",
journal = "Central European journal of public health",
title = "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia",
volume = "21",
number = "3",
pages = "140-145",
doi = "10.21101/cejph.a3840"
}
Bogdanović D, Milošević Z, Lazarević KK, Dolicanin ZC, Ranđelović D, Bogdanović SD. The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia. Central European journal of public health. 2013;21(3):140-145
Bogdanović, D., Milošević, Z., Lazarević, K. K., Dolicanin, Z. C., Ranđelović, D.,& Bogdanović, S. D. (2013). The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia.
Central European journal of public healthNatl Inst Public Health, Prague 10., 21(3), 140-145.
https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840
Bogdanović Dragan, Milošević Zoran, Lazarević Konstansa K., Dolicanin Zana C., Ranđelović Dragan, Bogdanović Stefan D., "The impact of the July 2007 heat wave on daily mortality in Belgrade, Serbia" 21, no. 3 (2013):140-145,
https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph.a3840 .

DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
About Jakov - Repository of the University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies in Belgrade | Send Feedback

OpenAIRERCUB
 

 

All of DSpaceInstitutionsAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis institutionAuthorsTitlesSubjects

Statistics

View Usage Statistics

DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
About Jakov - Repository of the University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies in Belgrade | Send Feedback

OpenAIRERCUB